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Trump's election fraud: Biden had a one in quadrillion chance of winning

The U.S supreme court has rejected a lawsuit from Texas' Attorney General, seeking to invalidate election results in four other states. He claimed that Biden's win is statistically impossible based on Clinton's support in those states. However, Biden has outperformed Hillary Clinton by 15 million votes nationwide and hence won the elections.

Reliability: 0.91, Confidence: 0.15

References

Reference Entailment Degree Comment
CITATION_test-channel_7923f0f1-824b-4d Supports 0.8 Justin Ryan Grimmer, a Political Science professor at Stanford University said in a twitter thread that Texas AG took the Cicchetti analysis to a conclusion Cicchetti did not say in his analysis.
CITATION_test-channel_bd7a4cf1-b025-4e Supports 0.9 As of around 8AM on Nov. 4, Trump still had a lead in Georgia of roughly 117,000 votes. But about 200,000 absentee and mail-in ballots had yet to be counted, and Biden ended up winning majority of those outstanding ballots.-Brad Raffensperger.
CITATION_test-channel_94d9bdab-1f42-4a Supports 0.8 Cicchetti said this in his declaration to the supreme court.
CITATION_test-channel_d76d1c6c-612a-41 Contradicts 0.1 This is a hypothesis by the Texas Attorney General, Ken Paxton in a lawsuit to the US Supreme Court.White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany also promoted the claim on social media and repeated it on Sean Hannity's Fox News show.

Reviews

Reviewer Score Comment
FACT_CHECKER_test-channel_c48g2071-947e-83 0.91 Election experts across the United States have said that the claim misuses a questionable statistical analysis that made implausible assumptions about the 2020 election.
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