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Trump's election fraud: Biden's win is statistically impossible
The U.S supreme court has rejected a lawsuit from Texas' Attorney General, seeking to invalidate election results in four other states. He claimed that Biden's win is statistically impossible because Trump was leading when most of the votes have been counted. However, many of the late-arriving votes were mail-in votes, which were mostly for Biden because Trump has urged his voters to cast their votes in person.
Reliability: 0.9, Confidence: 0.15
References
| Reference | Entailment | Degree | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| CITATION_test-channel_250641f9-8b92-47 | Supports | 0.9 | |
| CITATION_test-channel_1798b73e-61c1-40 | Supports | 0.9 | Pennsylvania Attorney General, Josh Shapiro pointed out that it was widely expected that absentee ballots would heavily favor Biden as a result of the president's frequent criticism of mail-in voting. |
| CITATION_test-channel_1e6f6bd2-ab71-4d | Supports | 0.9 | Cicchetti doesn't provide the relevant probability (in his methodology). He doesn't consider obvious alternative explanations. And he makes a basic error in interpretation. 2013 politifact.com |
| CITATION_test-channel_c4b62643-2f38-43 | Supports | 0.9 | According to the National Conference of State Legislatures' Absentee and Mail Voting Policies in Effect for the 2020 Election, the four states in the lawsuit do not allow absentee votes to be counted before Election Day. |
| CITATION_test-channel_f57d1a0c-1bdf-42 | Contradicts | 0.1 | Cicchetti focuses alone on Georgia in this observation, neglecting the other battle-states, thus, noting Trump was leading 51% to 49% at 3 a.m. on Nov. 4 but wound up narrowly losing the state. |
Reviews
| Reviewer | Score | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| FACT_CHECKER_test-channel_c48g2071-947e-83 | 0.9 | Experts have classified Cicchetti's statistics as implausible and lacking relevance in probability. According to Michigan Attorney General, Dan Nessel, a "win for Texas in the suit would be the end of democracy in the United States of America." |
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